Аналіз впливу макроекономічних показників на рейтинг країни

Автор(и)

  • Володимир Зубченко Київський національний університет імені Тараса Шевченка https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1513-9326
  • Марія Герасименко Київський національний університет імені Тараса Шевченка https://orcid.org/0009-0008-7183-5888

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17721/1812-5409.2024/1.6

Ключові слова:

рейтинг країни; макроекономічні індикатори; лінійна регресія; кореляційний аналіз; точність моделі

Анотація

This investigation delves deeply into Ukraine's macroeconomic indicators, aiming to elucidate their impact on the nation's global rating. It meticulously examines GDP, Gross External Debt, inflation rates, and other critical economic metrics, identifying trends and factors crucial to Ukraine's economic stability and international stature. This research underscores the link between Ukraine's global rating and its economic health.

In a thorough process, the study employs rigorous correlation analysis and develops sophisticated linear regression models to quantitatively evaluate the influence of various economic indicators on Ukraine's international rating. This methodological approach reveals the intricate relationship between economic vitality and global assessment, highlighting the potential of predictive modeling to forecast a country's rating based on essential economic factors. The findings stress the need for comprehensive economic analysis in strategic planning and policy formulation.

Moreover, this research lays a foundational framework for the analysis of economic indicators' impact on a country's rating, paving the way for future investigations into the predictive capabilities of economic models in global evaluations. It serves as a testament to the pivotal role of macroeconomic analysis in deciphering and enhancing a country's international standing.

By capturing the essence of the investigation into Ukraine's macroeconomic indicators and their influence on international ratings, this summary emphasizes the study's methodology and its significant findings. The detailed exploration provides a valuable perspective on the dynamics shaping a country's economic and global evaluation, offering insights crucial for informed decision-making and strategic policy development.

Посилання

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Pisarenko, T. V., Kuranda, T. K., Kochetkova, O. P., Muratova, N. I. (2014). Ecological condition of Ukraine according to indicators of international ratings and results of monitoring of realization of scientific and technical priorities [Ekolohichnyi stan Ukrainy za pokaznykamy mizhnarodnykh reitynhiv i rezultatamy monitorynhu realizatsii naukovotekhnichnykh priorytetiv], Scientific and technical information, No. 2, s. 10–17 [in Ukrainian]

Ukraine’s position in international rankings in the field of industry [Pozytsii Ukrainy v mizhnarodnykh reitynhakh u sferi promyslovosti], Industry 4.0 – Platform INDUSTRY4UKRAINE. Retrieved from: https://www.industry4ukraine.net/#about [in Ukrainian] 8. Ranking of countries by the level of ease of doing business [Reitynh krain za rivnem lehkosti vedennia biznesu], The World Bank Group: website. Retrieved from: https://www.doingbusiness.org [in Ukrainian]

Macroeconomic indicators from National Bank Of Ukraine. Retrieved from: https://bank.gov.ua/ua/statistic/macro-indicators [in Ukrainian]

Rates, indices, tariffs from Ministry Of Finance Of Ukraine. Retrieved from: https://index.minfin.com.ua/. [in Ukrainian]

Trading Economics. Retrieved from: https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/rating. [in Ukrainian]

State Statistics Service of Ukraine. Retrieved from: https://ukrstat.gov.ua/. [in Ukrainian]

Rating agency Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC: website [Reytingovoe agentstvo Standard & Poors Financial Services LLC: vebsayt]. Retrieved from: https://www.spglobal.com/ [in Ukrainian]

Moody’s ratings agency: website [Reytingovoe agentstvo Moody’s: vebsayt]. Retrieved from: https://www.moodys.com/pages/default_ee.aspx [in Ukrainian]

Rating agency Fitch Ratings: website [Reytingovoe agentstvo Fitch Ratings: vebsayt]. Retrieved from: https://www.fitchratings.com/ [in Ukrainian]

Завантаження

Опубліковано

12.09.2024

Номер

Розділ

Алгебра, геометрія та теорія ймовірностей

Як цитувати

Зубченко, В., & Герасименко, М. (2024). Аналіз впливу макроекономічних показників на рейтинг країни. Вісник Київського національного університету імені Тараса Шевченка. Фізико-математичні науки, 78(1), 36-40. https://doi.org/10.17721/1812-5409.2024/1.6