Statistical analysis of factors affecting the incidence of diabetes mellitus

Authors

  • Mykola Pychtar National Pedagogical Dragomanov University, Kyiv, Ukraine
  • Myroslava Lytvyn Kyiv School of Economics, Kyiv, Ukraine

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17721/1812-5409.2026/1.31

Keywords:

time series, diabetes mellitus, forecasting and modeling, k-NN, Random Forest, logistic regression, algorithm accuracy

Abstract

The seriousness of the problem of diabetes mellitus is explained by the scale of its prevalence. In 2021, approximately 537 million people worldwide were living with diabetes, which accounts for about 6% of the global population. Therefore, the study and analysis of data on the dynamics of diabetes incidence are highly relevant, both for forecasting future trends and for supporting effective government regulation and prevention of the disease’s spread.

The aim of this article is to conduct a statistical analysis of diabetes prevalence, to develop models of its dynamics for the city of Kyiv, and to analyze the influence of factors among women, such as the number of pregnancies, blood glucose levels, blood pressure, and body mass index (BMI), on the development of diabetes. Based on these variables, classification methods are applied to build predictive models using the R programming language.

Pages of the article in the issue: 237 - 241

Language of the article: English

References

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Published

2026-06-05

Issue

Section

Computer Science and Informatics

How to Cite

Pychtar, M., & Lytvyn, M. (2026). Statistical analysis of factors affecting the incidence of diabetes mellitus. Bulletin of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv. Physics and Mathematics, 82(1), 237-241. https://doi.org/10.17721/1812-5409.2026/1.31